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Water Quality

Current Water Quality Research

Harnessing machine learning and satellite remote sensing to assess the impacts of best management practices in water quality

Choptank River

PI: Greg Silsbe, Research Assistant Professor, Horn Point Laboratory, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science (UMCES)

Co-PIs: 

  • Lorena Silva, Research Assistant Scientist, Horn Point Laboratory, UMCES
  • Matthew Houser, Senior Social Scientist, The Nature Conservancy Chesapeake Bay Agriculture Program and Research Assistant Professor, Horn Point Laboratory, UMCES
  • Xiaoxu Guo, Associate Research Scientist, Horn Point Laboratory, UMCES

Duration: Two years. Funded in 2025.

Grant: $106,882

Description: In 2025, nitrogen and phosphorus pollution in the Chesapeake Bay is expected to exceed EPA reduction targets, with agricultural runoff being a major contributor. Recently convened scientific and technical advisory committees have emphasized that future efforts to reduce nutrient pollution should focus heavily on non-point sources, with a strong emphasis on agricultural lands where current levels of best management practice (BMP) adoption are insufficient to meet nutrient reduction targets. However, tracking BMP effectiveness is challenging due to gaps in traditional water quality monitoring.

A new research project aims to use machine learning (ML) and satellite imagery to provide more accurate and detailed assessments of nutrient pollution in the Choptank River, a key tributary of the Chesapeake Bay heavily impacted by agricultural runoff. By improving water quality predictions, the project will help refine strategies for pollution reduction.

The study also collaborates with The Nature Conservancy’s farmer incentive program, testing whether real-time pollution data, such as spikes in nutrient runoff after storms, encourages farmers to adopt BMPs. Partnering with Choptank Riverkeeper for ShoreRivers Matt Pluta on programs for water sampling, the research will enhance understanding of human impacts on water quality and support more effective restoration efforts. “Research projects like these are critical for keeping up with the necessary understanding of how human activities on land are impacting water quality conditions and how we can better approach restoration efforts to achieve maximum results and co-benefits,” Pluta said.

Riparian Buffers, Water Quality and Carbon Sequestration

riparian buffer

PI: David Newburn (University of Maryland Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics)

Co-PIs: Erik Lichtenberg (UMD AGNR)

Duration: May 2023 to July 2024

Grant: $65,514

Description: The study, written by Dr. David Newburn, an environmental and resource economist at the University of Maryland (UMD) College of Agriculture and Natural Resources, takes an experimental approach to evaluating methods and potential incentives to increase buffer adoption and enhance their environmental effectiveness.

Maryland has existing state and federal programs, such as the Conservation Buffer Initiative and Conservation Reserve Enhancement Program, that incentivize landowners who sign up to install buffers. Newburn’s study uses a survey of the owners of farmland throughout Maryland and embedded an experiment to elicit landowners willing to enroll in alternative buffer incentive programs varying in payment amounts and contract length. The study then combines this survey data with modeling to determine the likelihood that farmers will participate and what environmental benefits for water quality and carbon sequestration are achieved under each scenario.

Read More Here

(Photo Courtesy of the Chesapeake Bay Program)

Quantifying actual nutrient load reduction in drainage structures

PI: Dr. Hemendra Kumar (UMD AGNR)

Co-PIs: Dr. Ritesh Karki (UMD AGNR), Timothy Rosen (ShoreRivers), Ariana Muñoz (ShoreRivers), and Dr. Steve Lyon (The Ohio State University)

Duration: April 2024 to March 2026

Grant: $95,560

Description: Research in the Delmarva region focuses on implementing advanced technologies to address the critical issue of balancing food production and water quality in agriculture. The Chesapeake Bay clean-up effort underscores the urgency to restore the Bay and its contributing waters, highlighting the region's need for sustainable agricultural practices. Nutrient transport from agricultural fields poses a challenge to water quality. This research centers on implementing drainage water management (DWM), specifically exploring its potential to treat nutrient loss hot spots and hot moments (a particular moment in time when nutrient loss occurs) while empowering farmers as environmental stewards.

DWM involves installing water control structures at edge-of-field outlets to manage the water and nutrient flow, and reduce subsurface drainage flow and retain nutrient-rich water within the landscape, preventing its harmful effects on water bodies. These structures act as a tool to improve crops’ nutrient use efficiency, use of fertilizers, and manage in-field water levels sustainably. This research aims to quantify the impact of automated and manual DWM systems on water and nutrient flux from agricultural fields. Automated DWM utilizes sensor technologies to dynamically control water levels in the field’s drainage system based on real-time data. Manual DWM structures allow farmers to manually adjust the water levels in drainage pipes and control the flow of water and nutrients from the field. The researchers aim to assess the effectiveness of automated and manual DWM structures in reducing nutrient loads from fields in the Delmarva region.

“Our research on drainage water management not only benefits States’ agricultural community but also plays a crucial role in the larger effort to restore and preserve the health of Chesapeake Bay. By empowering farmers with smart agricultural technologies, we aim to reduce nutrient loading, safeguard water quality and contribute to a healthier environment for everyone in the Delmarva region.”

Evaluating the Effectiveness of Economic Incentives to Enhance Riparian Buffer Adoption and Environmental Benefits

Riparian buffer zones are central to Maryland’s water quality practices, significantly aiding in reducing runoff and sediment loads entering the Bay. Despite their myriad benefits, Maryland still has a shortage of buffer installations. 

The Chesapeake Bay Agreement called for 70% of riparian areas to have forested buffer zones, but we are falling short of this goal. Dr. David Newburn, environmental and resource economist at the University of Maryland, sought to discover how to incentivize the adoption of riparian buffer zones by assessing the current payment programs in place. 

The Hughes Center funded Dr. Newburn’s study in 2023, titled “Evaluating the Effectiveness of Economic Incentives to Enhance Riparian Buffer Adoption and Environmental Benefits for  Water Quality and Carbon Sequestration in Maryland.” 

Background: USDA’s Conservation Reserve Enhancement Program (CREP) and MDE’s Conservation Buffer Initiative are the two baseline buffer zone payment programs available for enrollment. CREP offers long-term contracts with annual payments, while the Conservation Buffer Initiative provides higher upfront payments with shorter contract terms.

Using these two programs, especially CREP, as a baseline, this study employs surveys and modeling to evaluate which program attributes influence landowner enrollment decisions. The team also analyzed environmental benefits and costs associated with program changes. 

Methods: The study used models to estimate water quality and carbon sequestration potential from riparian buffer installations on agricultural land. These models were then used to calculate the environmental benefits of installing riparian buffer zones under the enrollment of various payment programs. 

The research team created simulated policy scenarios by altering specific attributes of CREP. Landowners were asked to respond to scenarios, indicating their likelihood of enrollment in each proposed program. 

Key Findings: The study, which concluded in 2024, revealed several key findings through model analysis and survey responses. Results demonstrated a strong preference from landowners for upfront payments over annual payment structures, with minimal preference difference regarding contract length. The simulated policy scenarios concluded there was a high benefit-cost ratio for the addition of targeted bonus payments. Carbon offset payments, however, were seen as a drawback to enrollment — When compared to incentive payments offered with CREP, carbon offset payments was relatively low, and therefore made little impact in swaying surveyors to the simulated program. 

Almost half of the survey responders elected to refrain from any kind of enrollment into any program, and preferred, hypothetically or historically, to self-fund buffer zones. The survey went on to describe characteristics associated with their likelihood of enrollment. 

Dr. Newburn was the principal investigator on the study. His co-authors of the study include Dr. Erik Lichtenberg (UMD), Dr. Yougho Kim (Oxford University), Derek Wietelman (UMD), and Dr. Haoluan Wang (University of Miami). This study was funded by the Hughes Center for Agro-Ecology.

Read more about this study here.

Watch the webinar with Dr. David Newburn here.