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Technical Reports

Risk Factors for Adolescent Academic Achievement

Lynn Magdol
Youth Futures Project Assistant
University of Wisconsin-Madison/Extension

Magdol, L. (1992). Factors for adolescent academic achievement. (Wisconsin Youth Futures Technical Report No. 3, 20 pages). Madison, WI: University of Wisconsin-Madison/Extension.

The Carnegie Council on Adolescent Development (1989) estimates that about one quarter of the adolescent population is at risk of academic failure and other problem behaviors, with another quarter considered "moderately" at risk (Carnegie Council on Adolescent Development, 1989, p.8). School failure and the almost inevitable unemployment or underemployment that follow are among the most serious of these problems.

The costs to society and to the individual are high. Those who stay in school can avoid the risk of welfare: one added year of schooling means a 35 percent reduction in the chances of receiving welfare payments as an adult (Carnegie Council on Adolescent Development, 1989, p. 29). The nation pays the price not just in welfare payments, but in an estimated $260 billion in lost earnings and tax payments (Carnegie Council on Adolescent Development, 1989, p. 29).

School failure is thus a real problem. As such, it has attracted the attention of researchers in psychology, sociology, and education. They have identified numerous factors that are associated with academic success or failure. These range from individual aspects of learning, such as behavior problems or cognitive deficiencies, to family factors such as parenting techniques, to social issues such as poverty and cultural differences.

This paper summarizes the research findings on risk factors for academic achievement in adolescence. I review different measures of school achievement and summarize the latest statistics on the prevalence of the problem. I then discuss the risk factors that have been identified by research in the individual, family, peer, school, work, and community contexts. Because the emphasis is on adolescents, I do not discuss in detail the earlier risks factors in childhood or the preventive programs that have been developed to deal with them. However, these are an important component of successful schooling that should not be ignored. One scholar has compared the stability of achievement to a railroad track, with early achievement leading to later achievement (Featherman, 1980).

Prevalence of Low Academic Achievement

Low academic achievement is measured in a variety of ways. The most commonly cited indicator is the rate of high school completion, but statistics are also available on grades, standardized test scores, absenteeism, suspensions and expulsions, and the percentage of students who have been held back. This section summarizes the latest available information on grade retention, test scores, and high school completion. Gender and race differences are presented, and the societal costs of academic failure are discussed.

Being below the modal grade level for one's age is one statistic that is relevant to school failure, since many students who are held back to repeat a grade will ultimately become discouraged enough to drop out of school altogether (Mahan & Johnson, 1983; Massachusetts Advocacy Center, 1988; Carnegie Council on Adolescent Development, 1989; National Commission on Children, 1991). According to 1988 data, 35 percent of mail and 25 percent of female 13 year olds were behind their age peers; black males have especially high retention rates, approaching 50 percent (National Center for Education Statistics, 1991, p.24).

Standardized achievement tests are another common measure of school achievement. International comparisons show that adolescents in the U.S. are behind their peers in other countries in mathematics and science scores (National Center for Education Statistics, 1991, p. 38). Substantial numbers are also deficient in basic reading comprehension and critical thinking skills (Carnegie Council on Adolescent Development, 1989; National Commission on Children, 1991). According to recent estimates, less than half of 17 year olds have the basic skills necessary for employment or continuing education (National Commission on Children, 1991).

Dropping out of school before high school graduation is a commonly cited indicator of academic failure. Approximately one-fourth of 18 and 19 year olds have not completed high school (National Center for Education Statistics, 1989, p. 24), while 17 percent of the sophomore class of 1980 dropped out before they graduated (National Center for Education Statistics, 1991, p. 26). A substantial number of youth who drop out, however, will subsequently complete high school or obtain an equivalency diploma. For the sophomore class of 1980, almost half of those who will not complete high school on time had obtained a high school or equivalent diploma within 6 years (National Center for Education Statistics, 1991, p. 26). In addition, a substantial number enter training programs of some kind within two years of dropping out (Ekstrom, Goertz, Pollack, & Rock, 1986).

A recent report from the National Center for Education Statistics (McMillen, 1992) looks at dropout rates prior to high school and finds substantial dropout rates between 8th and 10th grades, especially among Hispanics and blacks. The report also cites evidence suggesting even higher Hispanic rates due to dropping out even earlier.

The gender and race differences in high school completion are significant. Overall, males have higher dropout rates than females; black females, however, exceed black males in dropout rates (National Center for Education Statistics, 1991, p. 26). Whites have higher rates of high school completion than blacks and Hispanics, but black male completion rates are improving (National Center for Education Statistics, 1991, p. 28). In 1987, the proportion of 25 to 29 year olds who were high school graduates was 86.0 percent, ranging from 58.6 percent among Hispanic males to 87.1 percent among white females (National Center for Education Statistics, 1991, p. 28).

Rates of high school attendance have improved over the course of this century (Center for the Study of Social Policy, 1986), and were still improving somewhat in the 1980's (National Center for Education Statistics, 1991, p. 12). Dropout rates are still a matter of concern, however, due to the continuing social costs incurred by lower earnings as well as higher rates of unemployment, welfare dependency, and criminal behavior that are associated with school failure (Center for the Study of Social Policy, 1986; Carnegie Council on Adolescent Development, 1989; National Commission on Children, 1991). The employment rate for recent high school graduates is almost 72 percent, compared to about 47 percent for recent high school dropouts (National Center for Education Statistics, 1991, p. 44). For males in the 25 to 34 age group, high school graduates have an employment rate of almost 90 percent, compared to about 75 percent for those with only 9 to 11 years of schooling. Median annual earnings of white male dropouts are about three-fourths as much as for high school graduates, while those who complete college earn almost one and a half times as much (National Center for Education Statistics, 1991, p. 48). For black males, the earnings and employment differentials between high school dropouts and high school graduates are even larger (National Center for Education Statistics, 1991).

Aside from race and gender differences, other social and demographic factors make them especially vulnerable to school problems. Of the 3.7 million children born in 1984, it is estimated about 500,000 (about 13 percent) were initially at risk for low school achievement, due to health-related factors such as physical or mental disabilities or chronic illness (Higgins & Mueller, 1988). In addition, about a quarter of children under the age of 6 are living in poverty, a factor that is highly relevant to school failure (Higgins & Mueller, 1988). Overall, an estimated 40 percent of children in the United States are at-risk of school failure due to poverty, race, immigration, poor English language skills, living in a single parent family, parents with little education, or health problems (National Commission on Children, 1991).

The following sections discuss in more detail the individual, family, peer, school, and community risk factors that influence academic achievement. This paper takes a risk-focused, ecological approach (Bogenschneider, Small, & Riley, 1990), identifying factors in the various environments that influence adolescent development. By considering all of these contexts together, rather than in isolation from each other, we can begin to formulate a strategy for prevention.

Individual Factors

An individual student might do poorly in school and subsequently leave prematurely for a variety of reasons. A national survey conducted in the early 1980's, High School and Beyond, asked students their own reasons for dropping out. The most common responses were not liking school (reported by a third of dropouts) and getting poor grades (also about a third). Other reasons given were not getting along with teachers and several life events. Males and females differed in their most common reasons. Males were more than twice as likely as females (13 percent vs. 5 percent) to drop out due to expulsion or suspension, employment (27 percent vs. 11 percent), or to contribute to family support (14 percent vs. 8 percent). Females were much more likely than males to drop out due to marriage (31 percent vs. 7 percent) or pregnancy (23 percent vs. 0 percent) Ekstrom et al, 1986).

Family Factors

Peer Factors

School Factors

Work Factors

Early involvement in work may provide an alternative focus for some students and may lead to dropping out or to lowered aspirations for post-secondary education (Ekstrom et al, 1986; Steinberg, 1989). Ekstrom and her colleagues (1986) found that 27 percent of male dropouts cited employment as the reason for leaving school and 14 percent cited family support obligations.

Community Factors

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Ordering Information

Copies can be ordered by writing to Karen Bogenschneider, Youth Futures, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 120 Human Ecology, 1300 Linden Drive, Madison, WI 53706-1575. Copies are $3 each with $1 postage and handling for each report. For ordering information, call (608) 262-2611. Make checks payable to University of Wisconsin-Madison, Wisconsin Youth Futures.

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